Showing posts with label black money. Show all posts
Showing posts with label black money. Show all posts

Saturday, November 8, 2014

Modi Radio Talk Misfires on Black Money


Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s “Mann-ki Baat” (Thinking Out Loud) on Black Money showed his unfamiliarity with the medium of radio.

He spoke as if all his usual visual aids were at work, the grizzled visage, the waving hands, the scornful lip and brow of cold command -- when, in fact, there was only his disembodied voice.

Radio is a medium that forces the listener to focus on meaning and significance, and in that it plays to a traditional Indian strength: we are a people whose genes bear the imprint of the countless generations who, over many millennia, kept alive by word of mouth the Vedas, the Upanishads and the teachings of the Buddha.

That ancestral feat has left Indians with an acute cultural sensitivity to the spoken word, a capacity to separate the wheat from chaff, especially among those who offer themselves up as our leaders.

It is the reason why British propagandists never had any success in India, why Gandhi’s reedy voice was no obstacle to the recognition of his great soul and why Rahul Gandhi today cannot rise in Indian esteem despite the most fervent wishes of his coterie.

Mr. Modi’s earnest third person reference to “this Pradhan Sevak” whose “article of faith” is “that every penny belonging to the poor of India should come back,” sounded tinny and insincere. Especially about the money belonging to the poor.

The problem with money has always been that it has not belonged to the poor. The rich have had exclusive ownership for as long as human memory serves, and no one has seriously contested that point except for Karl Marx and his acolytes, among whom our right-wing PM is an ill fit.

As a public speaker Mr. Modi has formidable prowess but always before in his political career he has been able to stoke communal feelings to appeal to crowds.

As Prime Minister he cannot now count on those supports, and based on the Black Money talk, I would say that he has yet to find a comfortable new metier.

Perhaps it would help if he did not underestimate the intelligence of his national audience.

He could have spoken seriously about the problems of black money, of how it is caused by people unwilling to pay heavy taxes, to see the country as their first priority.

He could have said, “I intend to ease the tax burden so that no one will have an incentive to send money abroad.”

He could have spoken of the national security aspects of having black money: anyone with a stash to protect abroad is at risk of blackmail by those who hold the money.

In that vein he might even have pointed to related realities such as the slavishly colonial attitudes in our “elite” mass media or the communal-provincial identity politics of some A-list “Bollywood” personalities. (Such light mentions can be extremely effective in raising the general level of political consciousness.)

A notable aspect of the talk was that it ignored completely the issue of domestic black money, the stuff that finances political campaigns and greases the wheels of official policies and programs.

By expert estimates it amounts to 90 per cent of wealth hidden from the tax man. Perhaps only economists and journalists have noted that gap now but awareness of it is sure to settle into the general populace, damaging the entire political infrastructure and Mr. Modi’s credibility in particular.

That prospect is unlikely to change if the government continues to deal with black money through police means. “Letters rogatory,” pleas to transnational bankers, and the browbeating of Indian suspects might make the headlines but they are likely to bring few returns.

As Press reports confirm, those efforts have so far resulted in nothing more than a shifting of wealth away from banks.

Where the money has gone is anyone’s guess. There are any number of other holdings out of reach of the taxman, ranging from pricey foreign real estate to diamonds, yachts and even foreign “participatory notes” that allow investors to fudge their real identities.

There is only one way to get every paisa of black money back to India and out of secret domestic coffers. That is by removing its root cause, income tax.

I have argued before in these columns that income tax, both personal and corporate, is an unnecessary burden on society that sits most heavily on the honest.

It is also a major source of corruption within the government bureaucracy, and as already mentioned, a particular weakness in our national security.

On top of all that it is completely unnecessary; the government could easily replace income tax with one on immovable property.

The cherry on top is surely that if India had no domestic income tax every investor in the world would suddenly develop an urgent desire to be here.

It is mystifying that instead of moving towards this win-win solution the Modi government is preparing for stronger and broader enforcement of tax laws.

Or perhaps it's not so mystifying.

Stronger tax enforcement will undoubtedly increase the arbitrary powers of government bureaucrats and bring on-stream new sources of bribery and political extortion.

But in taking that route the government must weigh in balance the further loss of economic freedom for all Indians, and inevitably, of the continued erosion of political liberty.

To sum up the matter as delicately as it has ever been put, I quote one of the few reportedly authentic sayings of Sun Tzu, the ancient Chinese philosopher: “Rule a great country as you would a small fish” (i.e. do not overdo it).

Friday, July 8, 2011

Corruption in India - 5

The issue of “black money” is one of the focal points of the current debate about corruption in India but neither the discussion nor the proposals to deal with it show any understanding of the phenomenon. This is not surprising, for corporate mass media have done little to illuminate the issue. A brief history lesson is necessary to show its real nature and magnitude.

The term itself is historically recent. It came into popular usage only after the emergence of the global black market in the 1960s, itself the result of European colonial Powers adjusting to the loss of their empires. Britain led the way, for it had several decades of relevant experience: after the first Opium Convention of 1912 banned the lucrative drug trade into China (an American initiative foisted on the reluctant Europeans), the British simply took the whole business underground. Its corporations  became drug runners and its banks became adept at laundering the huge revenues of the trade.

 When decolonization transformed Africa, Asia and the Caribbean in the decades after World War II, the European colonial Powers, again led by the British, did two things. One was to ensure remote control of the territories they gave up, either by transferring power to a co-opted native group or by arranging fratricidal conflicts that allowed them to manipulate the “newly independent” countries. Secondly, they put in place a new institutional support structure for a system of transnational crime that replaced colonialism.

It consisted of over a million shell companies (corporations with unidentifiable owners and assets), and nearly 80 “tax havens” or “offshore financial centres.” Most of this globally distributed system consisted of bits and pieces of former European empires. There were two primary hubs to the system, perennially neutral and passive Switzerland with its long tradition of sheltering criminals and their assets, and The City (financial centre) of London, continuing its actively predatory policies.

The system now receives and manages a mindboggling amount of hot money. Washington-based Global Financial Integrity (GFI) reported in 2009 that developing countries were losing between $858 and $1.06 trillion annually. In 2005 London-based Tax Justice Network (TJN) estimated that the world’s High Net-Worth Individuals held some $11.5 trillion in offshore tax havens. In 2010 the International Monetary Fund estimated that just the “small financial centres” (i.e. excluding Switzerland and London), held some $18 trillion in secret assets. The overall size of the underground economy is anyone’s guess. The United Nations estimated money laundering in 2010 at two to five per cent of global GDP: $800 billion to $2 trillion. The base from which the laundering takes place must necessarily be much more.

These criminal flows have become indistinguishable from the aboveground economy which processes electronically over $1.9 trillion per day, or nearly as much as the total annual amount of U.S. exports and imports. Much of the illicit flow is from tax havens into the aboveground economy; the available estimates do not include assets moved in the form of cash and other untraceable items, but even incomplete, they are impressive. The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development reported in its 2010 World Investment Report that the flow of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from Hong Kong in 2009 was more ($52.2 billion) than those of mainland China ($48 billion). Tiny British Virgin Islands had more FDI ($26 billion) than all of oil-rich West Asia ($23 billion) or the “Tiger” economies of South-East Asia ($21 billion). India’s FDI in 2009 was $14.8 billion.

In terms of FDI stock (cumulative total), Hong Kong has $834 billion and the British Virgin Islands $224.8 billion, adding up to more than half the FDI stock of the United States and dwarfing China’s $229 billion and India’s $77 billion. States have been very half-hearted in coming to grips with money laundering; there is no mandatory international framework of rules and regulations, and no initiative to ban shell companies or tax havens. The main vehicle for preventive action is a Financial Action Task Force (FATF) which has issued 40 non-binding guidelines.

Against this background, it is obvious that unilateral action by India cannot hope to bring black money home. The problem is not internal to India; it is global.

However, public discussion of the issue should help focus attention on the fact that we cannot continue to sleepwalk into “development” as currently envisaged. The problem is not only that corporate globalization cannot ensure prosperity for all without destroying the planetary environment. It is also a vast engine of corruption deeply inimical to democracy.

If we are to continue the Indian renaissance that began four centuries ago with Kabir and Guru Nanak and found its slow but sure-footed way to Gandhi, we will have to find an alternative means of generating wealth consonant with our traditions and under democratic control.